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Home » Predictions » Others » EC Bahia x Boston River Betting tips for March 14 in Copa Libertadores Qualification
Friday, 14 March 2025, 00h30 Copa Libertadores Qualification
EC Bahia EC Bahia
PREDICTION EC Bahia wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
Boston River Boston River
ODD: @1.17 Don't miss this prediction!

EC Bahia x Boston River Betting tips for March 14 in Copa Libertadores Qualification

Our betting tip for EC Bahia x Boston River, Friday, 14/3/2025
📅 14/3/2025
00:30
EC Bahia EC Bahia
1.17
X
6.50
Boston River Boston River
13.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for EC Bahia x Boston River:

🔮 EC Bahia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on EC Bahia, you can win up to $585.00!

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The main points for the tip for EC Bahia x Boston River:

👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Bahia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $3.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Boston River in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, EC Bahia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Boston River scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Boston River conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 EC Bahia is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 66.00% of possession.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Boston River has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on EC Bahia x Boston River:

Analysis from EC Bahia x Boston River for the Copa Libertadores Qualification – 14 of March

🏟️ EC Bahia X Boston River – Copa Libertadores Qualification
📅 14 of March, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 EC Bahia – Winning probability: 97.93% | Fair line: 1.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.56% | Fair line: 63.99
🔴 Boston River – Winning probability: 0.51% | Fair line: 197.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 EC Bahia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for EC Bahia x Boston River right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1280916 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for EC Bahia x Boston River

Should you bet on EC Bahia?

🔵 EC Bahia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 97.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $166.60
  • And would lose other 20 times – losing -$20.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$146.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $110.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$870.00.

Is betting on Boston River worth it?

🔴 Boston River: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 13.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $120.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$870.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match EC Bahia x Boston River

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 EC Bahia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Bahia x Boston River

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.25 EC Bahia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 EC Bahia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 EC Bahia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Bahia x Boston River

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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