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Home » Predictions » Others » EC Laranja Mecanica x AA Batel Betting tips for April 14 in Brazil Campeonato Paranaense 2
Monday, 14 April 2025, 23h00 Brazil Campeonato Paranaense 2
EC Laranja Mecanica EC Laranja Mecanica
PREDICTION No tip
AA Batel AA Batel
Don't miss this prediction!

EC Laranja Mecanica x AA Batel Betting tips for April 14 in Brazil Campeonato Paranaense 2

Our betting tip for EC Laranja Mecanica x AA Batel, Monday, 14/4/2025
📅 14/4/2025
23:00
EC Laranja Mecanica EC Laranja Mecanica
2.20
X
3.10
AA Batel AA Batel
3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for EC Laranja Mecanica x AA Batel:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for EC Laranja Mecanica x AA Batel

Important information for your tip for EC Laranja Mecanica x AA Batel:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AA Batel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, AA Batel scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, AA Batel conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from EC Laranja Mecanica x AA Batel for the Brazil Campeonato Paranaense 2 – 14 of April

🏟️ EC Laranja Mecanica X AA Batel – Brazil Campeonato Paranaense 2
📅 14 of April, 2025 – 23:00
🔵 EC Laranja Mecanica – Winning probability: 45.79% | Fair line: 2.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.43% | Fair line: 3.29
🔴 AA Batel – Winning probability: 23.78% | Fair line: 4.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Laranja Mecanica
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for EC Laranja Mecanica x AA Batel right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304036 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Laranja Mecanica x AA Batel

Is it a good idea to bet on EC Laranja Mecanica?

🔵 EC Laranja Mecanica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $552.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$12.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is betting on AA Batel worth it?

🔴 AA Batel: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match EC Laranja Mecanica x AA Batel

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Laranja Mecanica
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Laranja Mecanica x AA Batel

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 EC Laranja Mecanica and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 EC Laranja Mecanica.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Laranja Mecanica x AA Batel

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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