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Home » Predictions » Others » EC Lemense x Marilia Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 22h00 Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
EC Lemense EC Lemense
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Marilia Marilia
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

EC Lemense x Marilia Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3

Our betting tip for EC Lemense x Marilia, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
22:00
EC Lemense EC Lemense
2.55
X
3.00
Marilia Marilia
2.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for EC Lemense x Marilia:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

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Important information for your tip for EC Lemense x Marilia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Lemense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Marilia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Marilia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 EC Lemense matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Marilia matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Marilia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on EC Lemense x Marilia?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on EC Lemense x Marilia:

Analysis from EC Lemense x Marilia for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3 – 5 of February

🏟️ EC Lemense X Marilia – Brazil Campeonato Paulista A3
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 EC Lemense – Winning probability: 33.02% | Fair line: 3.03
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.75% | Fair line: 2.8
🔴 Marilia – Winning probability: 31.23% | Fair line: 3.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Lemense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between EC Lemense and Marilia.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257906 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Lemense x Marilia

Is it a good idea to bet on EC Lemense?

🔵 EC Lemense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $511.50
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$158.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $720.00
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.

Is betting on Marilia worth it?

🔴 Marilia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $496.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$194.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match EC Lemense x Marilia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EC Lemense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Lemense x Marilia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 EC Lemense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 EC Lemense.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 EC Lemense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Lemense x Marilia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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