EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane Betting tips for January 12 in Tunisia League 1

Our betting tip for EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 13:00

EGS Gafsa 2.76

X 2.64

US Ben Guerdane 2.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane

The main points for the tip for EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane: 👉 If you had bet $100 on EGS Gafsa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, US Ben Guerdane scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane, with EGS Gafsa as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, EGS Gafsa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 road matches, US Ben Guerdane has not lost any of them. 👉 EGS Gafsa has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against US Ben Guerdane playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane:

Analysis from EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane for the Tunisia League 1 – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane

Is it a good idea to bet on EGS Gafsa?

🔵 EGS Gafsa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $545.60;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$144.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $557.60;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$102.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on US Ben Guerdane?

🔴 US Ben Guerdane: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $578.00;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$82.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 EGS Gafsa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 EGS Gafsa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 EGS Gafsa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 EGS Gafsa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EGS Gafsa x US Ben Guerdane

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.