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Home » Predictions » Others » Eibar B x Alfaro Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 07h30 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
Eibar B Eibar B
PREDICTION Eibar B wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Alfaro Alfaro
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Eibar B x Alfaro Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Eibar B x Alfaro, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
07:30
Eibar B Eibar B
1.70
X
3.40
Alfaro Alfaro
4.33

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Eibar B x Alfaro:

🔮 Eibar B wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Eibar B, you can win up to $850.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Eibar B x Alfaro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Eibar B in each of its last 2 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $127.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alfaro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $475.0.
👉 In the last 4 Alfaro matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Eibar B x Alfaro for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 29 of September

🏟️ Eibar B X Alfaro – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 07:30
🔵 Eibar B – Winning probability: 68.59% | Fair line: 1.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.94% | Fair line: 4.56
🔴 Alfaro – Winning probability: 9.47% | Fair line: 10.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Eibar B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Eibar B and Alfaro.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Eibar B x Alfaro

Should you bet on Eibar B?

🔵 Eibar B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – profiting $483.00;
  • And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$173.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$252.00.

Is betting on Alfaro worth it?

🔴 Alfaro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $299.70;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$610.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Eibar B x Alfaro

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Eibar B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eibar B x Alfaro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Eibar B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Eibar B.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Eibar B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eibar B x Alfaro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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