El Nacional x Independiente del Valle Betting tips for April 14 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
| 📅 14/4/2025 21:30 |
 El Nacional3.50 |
X 3.20 |
Independiente del Valle  1.96 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for El Nacional x Independiente del Valle:
🔮 Independiente del Valle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente del Valle, you can win up to $980.00!
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Important information for your tip for El Nacional x Independiente del Valle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on El Nacional in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from El Nacional x Independiente del Valle for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 14 of April
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🏟️ El Nacional X Independiente del Valle – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between El Nacional and Independiente del Valle.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304036 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for El Nacional x Independiente del Valle
Is betting on El Nacional worth it?
🔵 El Nacional: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $550.00;
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$230.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $462.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$328.00.
Is betting on Independiente del Valle worth it?
🔴 Independiente del Valle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $547.20;
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$117.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match El Nacional x Independiente del Valle
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 El Nacional
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for El Nacional x Independiente del Valle
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 El Nacional and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 El Nacional.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Independiente del Valle.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for El Nacional x Independiente del Valle
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
