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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» El Zamalek x Al Ahly Cairo Betting tips for March 11 in Egypt Division 1
Tuesday, 11 March 2025, 19h30 Egypt Division 1
El Zamalek El Zamalek
PREDICTION No tip
Al Ahly Cairo Al Ahly Cairo
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El Zamalek x Al Ahly Cairo Betting tips for March 11 in Egypt Division 1

Our betting tip for El Zamalek x Al Ahly Cairo, Tuesday, 11/3/2025
πŸ“… 11/3/2025
19:30
El Zamalek El Zamalek
4.23
X
3.30
Al Ahly Cairo Al Ahly Cairo
1.78

Our algorithm has selected this tip for El Zamalek x Al Ahly Cairo:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for El Zamalek x Al Ahly Cairo

Important information for your tip for El Zamalek x Al Ahly Cairo:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on El Zamalek in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-49.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Ahly Cairo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the home team, El Zamalek scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Al Ahly Cairo scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, El Zamalek conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, El Zamalek conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Al Ahly Cairo.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Al Ahly Cairo has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on El Zamalek x Al Ahly Cairo?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on El Zamalek x Al Ahly Cairo:

Analysis from El Zamalek x Al Ahly Cairo for the Egypt Division 1 – 11 of March

🏟️ El Zamalek X Al Ahly Cairo – Egypt Division 1
πŸ“… 11 of March, 2025 – 19:30
πŸ”΅ El Zamalek – Winning probability: 18.98% | Fair line: 5.27
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.80% | Fair line: 3.6
πŸ”΄ Al Ahly Cairo – Winning probability: 53.22% | Fair line: 1.88
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 El Zamalek
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between El Zamalek and Al Ahly Cairo.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1279005 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for El Zamalek x Al Ahly Cairo

Is it a good idea to bet on El Zamalek?

πŸ”΅ El Zamalek: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $613.70;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$196.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $644.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$76.00.

Should you bet on Al Ahly Cairo?

πŸ”΄ Al Ahly Cairo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $413.40
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$56.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match El Zamalek x Al Ahly Cairo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 El Zamalek
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for El Zamalek x Al Ahly Cairo

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 El Zamalek and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 El Zamalek.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 El Zamalek.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for El Zamalek x Al Ahly Cairo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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