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20/1/2022 18:00 |
 Elche6.00 |
X 4.10 |
Real Madrid  1.53 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Elche x Real Madrid:
๐ฎ Real Madrid wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Madrid, you can win up to $765.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Elche x Real Madrid
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Elche x Real Madrid?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Elche x Real Madrid:
Analysis from Elche x Real Madrid for the Spain Copa del Rey – 20 of January
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๐๏ธ Elche X Real Madrid – Spain Copa del Rey |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Elche x Real Madrid right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290148 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Elche x Real Madrid
Is it worth betting on Elche?
๐ต Elche: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $500.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$400.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $248.00;
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$672.00.
Should you bet on Real Madrid?
๐ด Real Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 810 times – profiting $429.30;
- And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$239.30.
Handicaps analysis for the match Elche x Real Madrid
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Elche
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Elche x Real Madrid
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Elche and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Elche.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Elche x Real Madrid
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
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Keep in mind that our team of bettors is daily on YouTube with complete videos of analysis for the best matches of the day. Check out our bets for this Thursday right above and subscribe to our betting tips channel.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
