Eldense x Malaga Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Segunda
| 📅 11/5/2025 16:30 |
 Eldense1.85 |
X 3.33 |
Malaga  4.22 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Eldense x Malaga:
🔮 Eldense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Eldense, you can win up to $925.00!
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The main points for the tip for Eldense x Malaga: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Eldense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Eldense x Malaga for the Spain Segunda – 11 of May
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🏟️ Eldense X Malaga – Spain Segunda |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Eldense and Malaga.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1322673 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Eldense x Malaga
Is it a good idea to bet on Eldense?
🔵 Eldense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 600 times – profiting $510.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$110.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $582.50;
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$167.50.
Should you bet on Malaga?
🔴 Malaga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $483.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$367.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Eldense x Malaga
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Eldense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eldense x Malaga
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Eldense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Eldense. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eldense x Malaga
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
