Elgin x Bonnyrigg Rose Betting tips for February 4 in Scotland League Two

Our betting tip for Elgin x Bonnyrigg Rose, Tuesday, 4/2/2025

📅 4/2/2025 19:45

Elgin 1.89

X 3.40

Bonnyrigg Rose 3.64

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Elgin x Bonnyrigg Rose:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Elgin x Bonnyrigg Rose

The main points for the tip for Elgin x Bonnyrigg Rose: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Elgin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $335.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bonnyrigg Rose in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0. 👉 Bonnyrigg Rose did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Bonnyrigg Rose, Elgin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Bonnyrigg Rose conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Elgin has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Bonnyrigg Rose. 👉 It is not a good time for Bonnyrigg Rose as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Elgin x Bonnyrigg Rose for the Scotland League Two – 4 of February

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Elgin x Bonnyrigg Rose right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1256585 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Elgin x Bonnyrigg Rose

Is it worth betting on Elgin?

🔵 Elgin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – profiting $471.70;
• And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$1.70, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $600.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$150.00.

Should you bet on Bonnyrigg Rose?

🔴 Bonnyrigg Rose: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $580.80;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$199.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Elgin x Bonnyrigg Rose

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Elgin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Elgin x Bonnyrigg Rose

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Elgin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Elgin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Elgin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Elgin x Bonnyrigg Rose

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.