Elgin x Forfar Betting tips for November 21 in Scotland League Two

Our betting tip for Elgin x Forfar, Tuesday, 21/11/2023

📅 21/11/2023 19:45

Elgin 2.76

X 3.20

Forfar 2.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Elgin x Forfar:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

🔮 Forfar wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Forfar, you can win up to $1200.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Elgin x Forfar: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Elgin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Forfar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $290.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Elgin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Forfar scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Elgin matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Elgin x Forfar, with Elgin as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Forfar has not lost any of them.

📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Elgin x Forfar

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Elgin x Forfar?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Elgin x Forfar:

Analysis from Elgin x Forfar for the Scotland League Two – 21 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Elgin and Forfar.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024310 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Elgin x Forfar

Is it worth betting on Elgin?

🔵 Elgin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $228.80;
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$641.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $770.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Forfar?

🔴 Forfar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $728.00;
• And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$248.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Elgin x Forfar

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Elgin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Elgin x Forfar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Elgin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Elgin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Forfar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Elgin x Forfar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.