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Home » Predictions » Others » Emelec x Vinotinto Ecuador Betting tips for July 5 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Saturday, 05 July 2025, 21h30 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Emelec Emelec
PREDICTION Emelec wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Vinotinto Ecuador Vinotinto Ecuador
ODD: @1.74 Don't miss this prediction!

Emelec x Vinotinto Ecuador Betting tips for July 5 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Emelec x Vinotinto Ecuador, Saturday, 5/7/2025
📅 5/7/2025
21:30
Emelec Emelec
1.74
X
3.40
Vinotinto Ecuador Vinotinto Ecuador
4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Emelec x Vinotinto Ecuador:

🔮 Emelec wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Emelec, you can win up to $870.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Emelec x Vinotinto Ecuador:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Emelec in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Vinotinto Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Vinotinto Ecuador conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Emelec x Vinotinto Ecuador for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 5 of July

🏟️ Emelec X Vinotinto Ecuador – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
📅 5 of July, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 Emelec – Winning probability: 68.49% | Fair line: 1.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.09% | Fair line: 7.64
🔴 Vinotinto Ecuador – Winning probability: 18.42% | Fair line: 5.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Emelec
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Emelec x Vinotinto Ecuador is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1348834 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Emelec x Vinotinto Ecuador

Is it worth betting on Emelec?

🔵 Emelec: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – profiting $503.20;
  • And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$183.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $312.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$558.00.

Should you bet on Vinotinto Ecuador?

🔴 Vinotinto Ecuador: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $576.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Emelec x Vinotinto Ecuador

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Emelec
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Emelec x Vinotinto Ecuador

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Emelec and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Emelec.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Emelec.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Emelec x Vinotinto Ecuador

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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