Erbaaspor x Karaman Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
| 📅 29/9/2024 09:30 |
 Erbaaspor2.25 |
X 3.16 |
Karaman  2.80 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Erbaaspor x Karaman:
🔮 Erbaaspor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Erbaaspor, you can win up to $1125.00!
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Important information for your tip for Erbaaspor x Karaman: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Karaman in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Erbaaspor x Karaman for the Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi – 29 of September
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🏟️ Erbaaspor X Karaman – Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Erbaaspor x Karaman right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Erbaaspor x Karaman
Is betting on Erbaaspor worth it?
🔵 Erbaaspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
- And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $518.40
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$241.60.
Should you bet on Karaman?
🔴 Karaman: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $522.00
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$188.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Erbaaspor x Karaman
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Erbaaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Erbaaspor x Karaman
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Erbaaspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Erbaaspor.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Karaman.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Erbaaspor x Karaman
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
