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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Erbil SC x Al Karma Betting tips for January 10 in Iraq League
Friday, 10 January 2025, 14h00 Iraq League
Erbil SC Erbil SC
PREDICTION No tip
Al Karma Al Karma
Don't miss this prediction!

Erbil SC x Al Karma Betting tips for January 10 in Iraq League

Our betting tip for Erbil SC x Al Karma, Friday, 10/1/2025
πŸ“… 10/1/2025
14:00
Erbil SC Erbil SC
1.80
X
3.25
Al Karma Al Karma
3.96

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Erbil SC x Al Karma:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Erbil SC x Al Karma

Some important points for the tip for Erbil SC x Al Karma:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Erbil SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $141.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Karma in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Erbil SC scored at least 3 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Erbil SC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Erbil SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Al Karma conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Erbil SC is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Erbil SC x Al Karma?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Erbil SC x Al Karma, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Erbil SC x Al Karma for the Iraq League – 10 of January

🏟️ Erbil SC X Al Karma – Iraq League
πŸ“… 10 of January, 2025 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Erbil SC – Winning probability: 47.11% | Fair line: 2.12
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.69% | Fair line: 3.16
πŸ”΄ Al Karma – Winning probability: 21.20% | Fair line: 4.72
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Erbil SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Erbil SC and Al Karma.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244129 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Erbil SC x Al Karma

Is it a good idea to bet on Erbil SC?

πŸ”΅ Erbil SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – profiting $376.00;
  • And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$154.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $720.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$40.00.

Is it worth betting on Al Karma?

πŸ”΄ Al Karma: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $621.60
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$168.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Erbil SC x Al Karma

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Erbil SC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Erbil SC x Al Karma

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Erbil SC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Erbil SC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Erbil SC x Al Karma

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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