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Ergene Velimese Spor x Sariyer Betting tips for January 16 in Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi

Our betting tip for Ergene Velimese Spor x Sariyer, Sunday, 16/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 16/1/2022
10:00
Ergene Velimese Spor
3.24
X
3.23
Sariyer
2.07

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ergene Velimese Spor x Sariyer:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1617.50!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Ergene Velimese Spor x Sariyer

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Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Ergene Velimese Spor x Sariyer?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Ergene Velimese Spor x Sariyer:

Analysis from Ergene Velimese Spor x Sariyer for the Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi – 16 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Ergene Velimese Spor X Sariyer – Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
๐Ÿ“… 16 of January, 2022 – 10:00
๐Ÿ”ต Ergene Velimese Spor – Winning probability: 22.38% | Fair line: 4.47
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.01% | Fair line: 2.7
๐Ÿ”ด Sariyer – Winning probability: 40.62% | Fair line: 2.46
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ergene Velimese Spor
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Ergene Velimese Spor x Sariyer is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ergene Velimese Spor x Sariyer

Is betting on Ergene Velimese Spor worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Ergene Velimese Spor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $492.80
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$287.20.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $826.95
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$196.95.

Is betting on Sariyer worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Sariyer: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $438.70;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$151.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ergene Velimese Spor x Sariyer

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ergene Velimese Spor
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ergene Velimese Spor x Sariyer

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Ergene Velimese Spor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Ergene Velimese Spor.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Sariyer.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ergene Velimese Spor x Sariyer

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves