Erzgebirge Aue x FC Ingolstadt Betting tips for December 7 in Germany 3. Liga
| 📅 7/12/2025 18:30 |
Erzgebirge Aue2.45 |
X 3.50 |
FC Ingolstadt ![]() 2.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Erzgebirge Aue x FC Ingolstadt:
👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Erzgebirge Aue x FC Ingolstadt
Important information for your tip for Erzgebirge Aue x FC Ingolstadt:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Erzgebirge Aue in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $20.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Ingolstadt in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
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Analysis from Erzgebirge Aue x FC Ingolstadt for the Germany 3. Liga – 7 of December
🏟️ Erzgebirge Aue X FC Ingolstadt – Germany 3. Liga
📅 7 of December, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Erzgebirge Aue – Winning probability: 30.24% | Fair line: 3.31
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.76% | Fair line: 3.48
🔴 FC Ingolstadt – Winning probability: 41.00% | Fair line: 2.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Erzgebirge Aue
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on Erzgebirge Aue x FC Ingolstadt is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1449543 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Erzgebirge Aue x FC Ingolstadt
Is it a good idea to bet on Erzgebirge Aue?
🔵 Erzgebirge Aue: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $435.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$265.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $725.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$15.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it worth betting on FC Ingolstadt?
🔴 FC Ingolstadt: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $615.00;
- And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$25.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Erzgebirge Aue x FC Ingolstadt
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Erzgebirge Aue
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Erzgebirge Aue x FC Ingolstadt
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Erzgebirge Aue, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Erzgebirge Aue.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Erzgebirge Aue.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Erzgebirge Aue x FC Ingolstadt
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

Erzgebirge Aue