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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» ES Setif x MC Alger Betting tips for December 1 in Algeria Division 1
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 16h30 Algeria Division 1
ES Setif ES Setif
PREDICTION No tip
MC Alger MC Alger
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ES Setif x MC Alger Betting tips for December 1 in Algeria Division 1

Our betting tip for ES Setif x MC Alger, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
16:30
ES Setif ES Setif
2.88
X
2.80
MC Alger MC Alger
2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ES Setif x MC Alger:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for ES Setif x MC Alger

Important information for your tip for ES Setif x MC Alger:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ES Setif in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $104.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on MC Alger in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $275.0.
πŸ‘‰ ES Setif did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ MC Alger did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against MC Alger, ES Setif scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 ES Setif matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 MC Alger matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, MC Alger has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ ES Setif has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against MC Alger playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from ES Setif x MC Alger for the Algeria Division 1 – 1 of December

🏟️ ES Setif X MC Alger – Algeria Division 1
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 16:30
πŸ”΅ ES Setif – Winning probability: 29.25% | Fair line: 3.42
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.96% | Fair line: 2.71
πŸ”΄ MC Alger – Winning probability: 33.79% | Fair line: 2.96
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ES Setif
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on ES Setif x MC Alger is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for ES Setif x MC Alger

Should you bet on ES Setif?

πŸ”΅ ES Setif: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $545.20;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$164.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $666.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$36.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on MC Alger worth it?

πŸ”΄ MC Alger: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $510.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$150.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ES Setif x MC Alger

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ES Setif
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ES Setif x MC Alger

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 ES Setif, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 ES Setif.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 ES Setif.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ES Setif x MC Alger

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 1.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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