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Home » Predictions » Others » Escobedo x UD Barbastro Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Play-Offs
Sunday, 11 May 2025, 09h45 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Play-Offs
Escobedo Escobedo
PREDICTION Escobedo wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
UD Barbastro UD Barbastro
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Escobedo x UD Barbastro Betting tips for May 11 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Play-Offs

Our betting tip for Escobedo x UD Barbastro, Sunday, 11/5/2025
📅 11/5/2025
09:45
Escobedo Escobedo
2.30
X
2.75
UD Barbastro UD Barbastro
3.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Escobedo x UD Barbastro:

🔮 Escobedo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Escobedo, you can win up to $1150.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Escobedo x UD Barbastro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Escobedo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $475.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Barbastro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 Escobedo did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Escobedo x UD Barbastro for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Play-Offs – 11 of May

🏟️ Escobedo X UD Barbastro – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Play-Offs
📅 11 of May, 2025 – 09:45
🔵 Escobedo – Winning probability: 66.28% | Fair line: 1.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.76% | Fair line: 5.97
🔴 UD Barbastro – Winning probability: 16.95% | Fair line: 5.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Escobedo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Escobedo and UD Barbastro.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1322631 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Escobedo x UD Barbastro

Should you bet on Escobedo?

🔵 Escobedo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $858.00;
  • And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$518.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $297.50;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$532.50.

Should you bet on UD Barbastro?

🔴 UD Barbastro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $382.50;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$447.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Escobedo x UD Barbastro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Escobedo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Escobedo x UD Barbastro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Escobedo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Escobedo.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Escobedo x UD Barbastro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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