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Home » Predictions » Others » Esenler Erokspor x Pendikspor Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 1 Lig
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h00 Turkey 1 Lig
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
PREDICTION Pendikspor Wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Pendikspor Pendikspor
ODD: @2.01 Don't miss this prediction!

Esenler Erokspor x Pendikspor Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 1 Lig

Our betting tip for Esenler Erokspor x Pendikspor, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
13:00
Esenler Erokspor Esenler Erokspor
3.30
X
3.35
Pendikspor Pendikspor
2.01

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Esenler Erokspor x Pendikspor:

🔮 Pendikspor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pendikspor, you can win up to $1005.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Esenler Erokspor x Pendikspor:

👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Esenler Erokspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Pendikspor scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Pendikspor matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Pendikspor has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Esenler Erokspor x Pendikspor for the Turkey 1 Lig – 29 of September

🏟️ Esenler Erokspor X Pendikspor – Turkey 1 Lig
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Esenler Erokspor – Winning probability: 20.57% | Fair line: 4.86
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.36% | Fair line: 4.1
🔴 Pendikspor – Winning probability: 55.07% | Fair line: 1.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Esenler Erokspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Esenler Erokspor x Pendikspor is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Esenler Erokspor x Pendikspor

Should you bet on Esenler Erokspor?

🔵 Esenler Erokspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $483.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$307.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $564.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$196.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Pendikspor?

🔴 Pendikspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.01. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $555.50;
  • And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$105.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Esenler Erokspor x Pendikspor

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Esenler Erokspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Esenler Erokspor x Pendikspor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Esenler Erokspor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Esenler Erokspor.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Pendikspor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Esenler Erokspor x Pendikspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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