ESPA x MPS Betting tips for April 16 in Finland Kolmonen
| 📅 16/4/2025 17:15 |
 ESPA1.13 |
X 7.25 |
MPS  8.88 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for ESPA x MPS:
🔮 ESPA wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on ESPA, you can win up to $565.00!
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The main points for the tip for ESPA x MPS: 👉 If you had bet $100 on ESPA in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on ESPA x MPS?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on ESPA x MPS, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from ESPA x MPS for the Finland Kolmonen – 16 of April
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🏟️ ESPA X MPS – Finland Kolmonen |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between ESPA and MPS.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1304980 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for ESPA x MPS
Is it worth betting on ESPA?
🔵 ESPA: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 98.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $128.70
- And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$118.70.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $62.50;
- And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$927.50.
Should you bet on MPS?
🔴 MPS: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $78.80;
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$911.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match ESPA x MPS
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 ESPA
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ESPA x MPS
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.25 ESPA, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.5 ESPA.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.5 MPS.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ESPA x MPS
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 4.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.25 goals.
