Este x ASD Brusaporto Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Este x ASD Brusaporto, Wednesday, 2/10/2024

📅 2/10/2024 10:00

Este 2.37

X 3.10

ASD Brusaporto 2.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Este x ASD Brusaporto:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Este x ASD Brusaporto

Some important points for the tip for Este x ASD Brusaporto: 👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Brusaporto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Este scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 ASD Brusaporto matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Este x ASD Brusaporto for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Este x ASD Brusaporto right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Este x ASD Brusaporto

Is it worth betting on Este?

🔵 Este: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $548.00
• And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$52.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Should you bet on ASD Brusaporto?

🔴 ASD Brusaporto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $544.00
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Este x ASD Brusaporto

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Este
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Este x ASD Brusaporto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Este and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Este.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Este x ASD Brusaporto

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.