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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23 Betting tips for February 5 in Portugal U23 League
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 15h00 Portugal U23 League
Estrela Amadora U23 Estrela Amadora U23
PREDICTION No tip
Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23
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Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23 Betting tips for February 5 in Portugal U23 League

Our betting tip for Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
πŸ“… 5/2/2025
15:00
Estrela Amadora U23 Estrela Amadora U23
2.80
X
3.10
Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23
2.53

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23

Some important points for the tip for Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Estrela Amadora U23 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $420.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Famalicao U23 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-45.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Famalicao U23 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Estrela Amadora U23 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Famalicao U23 has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23 for the Portugal U23 League – 5 of February

🏟️ Estrela Amadora U23 X Famalicao U23 – Portugal U23 League
πŸ“… 5 of February, 2025 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Estrela Amadora U23 – Winning probability: 22.65% | Fair line: 4.42
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.87% | Fair line: 3.14
πŸ”΄ Famalicao U23 – Winning probability: 45.48% | Fair line: 2.2
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Estrela Amadora U23
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257659 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23

Is it a good idea to bet on Estrela Amadora U23?

πŸ”΅ Estrela Amadora U23: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $414.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$356.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$8.00.

Is betting on Famalicao U23 worth it?

πŸ”΄ Famalicao U23: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $688.50;
  • And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$138.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Estrela Amadora U23
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Estrela Amadora U23 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Estrela Amadora U23.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Estrela Amadora U23.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estrela Amadora U23 x Famalicao U23

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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