Estrela de Vendas Novas x Amora Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
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29/9/2024 11:00 |
 Estrela de Vendas Novas4.75 |
X 3.70 |
Amora  1.60 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Estrela de Vendas Novas x Amora:
๐ฎ Amora wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Amora, you can win up to $800.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Estrela de Vendas Novas x Amora: ๐ Estrela de Vendas Novas did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Estrela de Vendas Novas x Amora?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Estrela de Vendas Novas x Amora, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Estrela de Vendas Novas x Amora for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September
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๐๏ธ Estrela de Vendas Novas X Amora – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Estrela de Vendas Novas x Amora right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Estrela de Vendas Novas x Amora
Is it a good idea to bet on Estrela de Vendas Novas?
๐ต Estrela de Vendas Novas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $225.00
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$715.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $405.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$445.00.
Is betting on Amora worth it?
๐ด Amora: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $468.00;
- And would lose other 220 times – losing -$220.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$248.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Estrela de Vendas Novas x Amora
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Estrela de Vendas Novas
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estrela de Vendas Novas x Amora
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Estrela de Vendas Novas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Estrela de Vendas Novas. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estrela de Vendas Novas x Amora
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
