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Home » Predictions » Estrela de Vendas Novas x GD Lagoa Betting tips for February 2 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Estrela de Vendas Novas Estrela de Vendas Novas
PREDICTION GD Lagoa Wins Probability 88% 1 X 2
GD Lagoa GD Lagoa
ODD: @1.33 Don't miss this prediction!

Estrela de Vendas Novas x GD Lagoa Betting tips for February 2 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Estrela de Vendas Novas x GD Lagoa, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
15:00
Estrela de Vendas Novas Estrela de Vendas Novas
7.90
X
4.45
GD Lagoa GD Lagoa
1.33

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Estrela de Vendas Novas x GD Lagoa:

🔮 GD Lagoa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on GD Lagoa, you can win up to $665.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Estrela de Vendas Novas x GD Lagoa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Estrela de Vendas Novas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on GD Lagoa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 Estrela de Vendas Novas did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, GD Lagoa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Estrela de Vendas Novas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, GD Lagoa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Estrela de Vendas Novas as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Estrela de Vendas Novas x GD Lagoa for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 2 of February

🏟️ Estrela de Vendas Novas X GD Lagoa – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Estrela de Vendas Novas – Winning probability: 1.87% | Fair line: 53.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.62% | Fair line: 10.4
🔴 GD Lagoa – Winning probability: 88.52% | Fair line: 1.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Estrela de Vendas Novas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Estrela de Vendas Novas x GD Lagoa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Estrela de Vendas Novas x GD Lagoa

Is it worth betting on Estrela de Vendas Novas?

🔵 Estrela de Vendas Novas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $138.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$842.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $345.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$555.00.

Is betting on GD Lagoa worth it?

🔴 GD Lagoa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 890 times – profiting $293.70;
  • And would lose other 110 times – having a loss of -$110.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$183.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estrela de Vendas Novas x GD Lagoa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Estrela de Vendas Novas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estrela de Vendas Novas x GD Lagoa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.5 Estrela de Vendas Novas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Estrela de Vendas Novas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 GD Lagoa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estrela de Vendas Novas x GD Lagoa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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