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Estudiantes Rio Cuarto x Deportivo Maipu Betting tips for November 22 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto x Deportivo Maipu, Wednesday, 22/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 22/11/2023
22:00
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
2.04
X
3.09
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
3.59

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto x Deportivo Maipu:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Estudiantes Rio Cuarto, you can win up to $1020.00!

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Important information for your tip for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto x Deportivo Maipu:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes Rio Cuarto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $100.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Maipu in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-340.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Deportivo Maipu scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Deportivo Maipu conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Estudiantes Rio Cuarto conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Deportivo Maipu.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto x Deportivo Maipu

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Summary

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Analysis from Estudiantes Rio Cuarto x Deportivo Maipu for the Argentina Nacional B – 22 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto X Deportivo Maipu – Argentina Nacional B
๐Ÿ“… 22 of November, 2023 – 22:00
๐Ÿ”ต Estudiantes Rio Cuarto – Winning probability: 59.75% | Fair line: 1.67
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.45% | Fair line: 3.64
๐Ÿ”ด Deportivo Maipu – Winning probability: 12.80% | Fair line: 7.81
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Estudiantes Rio Cuarto x Deportivo Maipu is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024629 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto x Deportivo Maipu

Is it worth betting on Estudiantes Rio Cuarto?

๐Ÿ”ต Estudiantes Rio Cuarto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$224.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $564.30;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$165.70.

Should you bet on Deportivo Maipu?

๐Ÿ”ด Deportivo Maipu: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $336.70;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$533.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Estudiantes Rio Cuarto x Deportivo Maipu

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto x Deportivo Maipu

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto x Deportivo Maipu

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves