Ethiopian Insurance FC x Fasil Kenema Betting tips for February 5 in Ethiopia Premier League
π
5/2/2025 15:00 |
![]() 1.87 |
X 2.68 |
Fasil Kenema ![]() 5.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Fasil Kenema:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Fasil Kenema
Important information for your tip for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Fasil Kenema: π If you had bet $100 on Ethiopian Insurance FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $467.0. |

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Analysis from Ethiopian Insurance FC x Fasil Kenema for the Ethiopia Premier League – 5 of February
ποΈ Ethiopian Insurance FC X Fasil Kenema – Ethiopia Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Fasil Kenema right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1257659 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Fasil Kenema
Is it worth betting on Ethiopian Insurance FC?
π΅ Ethiopian Insurance FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 540 times – profiting $469.80;
- And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$9.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $588.00;
- And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$62.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Fasil Kenema?
π΄ Fasil Kenema: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $440.00;
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$450.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ethiopian Insurance FC x Fasil Kenema
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ethiopian Insurance FC
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Fasil Kenema
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Ethiopian Insurance FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Ethiopian Insurance FC.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ethiopian Insurance FC x Fasil Kenema
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.50 goals.