Etoile Carouge x FC Thun Betting tips for March 14 in Switzerland Challenge League

Our betting tip for Etoile Carouge x FC Thun, Friday, 14/3/2025

📅 14/3/2025 19:15

Etoile Carouge 2.71

X 3.25

FC Thun 2.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Etoile Carouge x FC Thun:

🔮 FC Thun wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Thun, you can win up to $1150.00!

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The main points for the tip for Etoile Carouge x FC Thun: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Etoile Carouge in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $39.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Thun in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Etoile Carouge scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Etoile Carouge matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Etoile Carouge conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, FC Thun conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Etoile Carouge x FC Thun for the Switzerland Challenge League – 14 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Etoile Carouge and FC Thun.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281036 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Etoile Carouge x FC Thun

Is it a good idea to bet on Etoile Carouge?

🔵 Etoile Carouge: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.71. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $444.60
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$295.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $607.50
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$122.50.

Should you bet on FC Thun?

🔴 FC Thun: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $611.00;
• And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$81.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Etoile Carouge x FC Thun

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Etoile Carouge
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Etoile Carouge x FC Thun

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Etoile Carouge and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Etoile Carouge.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 FC Thun.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Etoile Carouge x FC Thun

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.