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Home » Predictions » Others » Etoile Sportive Sahel x ES Zarzis Betting tips for March 9 in Tunisia League 1
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 13h00 Tunisia League 1
Etoile Sportive Sahel Etoile Sportive Sahel
PREDICTION Etoile Sportive Sahel wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
ES Zarzis ES Zarzis
ODD: @1.61 Don't miss this prediction!

Etoile Sportive Sahel x ES Zarzis Betting tips for March 9 in Tunisia League 1

Our betting tip for Etoile Sportive Sahel x ES Zarzis, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
13:00
Etoile Sportive Sahel Etoile Sportive Sahel
1.61
X
3.20
ES Zarzis ES Zarzis
6.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Etoile Sportive Sahel x ES Zarzis:

🔮 Etoile Sportive Sahel wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Etoile Sportive Sahel, you can win up to $805.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Etoile Sportive Sahel x ES Zarzis:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Etoile Sportive Sahel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $114.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on ES Zarzis in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Etoile Sportive Sahel scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against ES Zarzis, Etoile Sportive Sahel scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, ES Zarzis conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Etoile Sportive Sahel is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Etoile Sportive Sahel has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against ES Zarzis playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for ES Zarzis as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Etoile Sportive Sahel x ES Zarzis for the Tunisia League 1 – 9 of March

🏟️ Etoile Sportive Sahel X ES Zarzis – Tunisia League 1
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Etoile Sportive Sahel – Winning probability: 75.77% | Fair line: 1.32
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.98% | Fair line: 5.27
🔴 ES Zarzis – Winning probability: 5.25% | Fair line: 19.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Etoile Sportive Sahel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Etoile Sportive Sahel x ES Zarzis right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Etoile Sportive Sahel x ES Zarzis

Is it worth betting on Etoile Sportive Sahel?

🔵 Etoile Sportive Sahel: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – profiting $463.60;
  • And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$223.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $418.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$392.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on ES Zarzis?

🔴 ES Zarzis: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $250.00
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$700.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Etoile Sportive Sahel x ES Zarzis

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Etoile Sportive Sahel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Etoile Sportive Sahel x ES Zarzis

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Etoile Sportive Sahel and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Etoile Sportive Sahel.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Etoile Sportive Sahel.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Etoile Sportive Sahel x ES Zarzis

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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