📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Eupen x Cercle Brugge
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Analysis from Eupen x Cercle Brugge for the Belgium First Division A – 16 of January
🏟️ Eupen X Cercle Brugge – Belgium First Division A
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Eupen and Cercle Brugge.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Eupen x Cercle Brugge
Is it a good idea to bet on Eupen?
🔵 Eupen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$182.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $688.75
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$21.25.
Is betting on Cercle Brugge worth it?
🔴 Cercle Brugge: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $565.80;
- And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$24.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Eupen x Cercle Brugge
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Eupen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Eupen x Cercle Brugge
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Eupen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Eupen.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Eupen.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Eupen x Cercle Brugge
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves