Europa FC x FCB Magpies Betting tips for January 11 in Gibraltar National League

Our betting tip for Europa FC x FCB Magpies, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 15:30

Europa FC 2.10

X 3.85

FCB Magpies 2.74

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Europa FC x FCB Magpies:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Europa FC x FCB Magpies

Some important points for the tip for Europa FC x FCB Magpies: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Europa FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-268.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FCB Magpies in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-114.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Europa FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Europa FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Europa FC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against FCB Magpies playing at home.

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Analysis from Europa FC x FCB Magpies for the Gibraltar National League – 11 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Europa FC and FCB Magpies.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Europa FC x FCB Magpies

Is betting on Europa FC worth it?

🔵 Europa FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $352.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $684.00
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$76.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on FCB Magpies?

🔴 FCB Magpies: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $748.20
• And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$178.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Europa FC x FCB Magpies

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Europa FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Europa FC x FCB Magpies

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Europa FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Europa FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 FCB Magpies.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Europa FC x FCB Magpies

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.