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16/1/2022 13:30 |
 Evreux FC 27 U194.60 |
X 3.77 |
Lille U19  1.59 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Evreux FC 27 U19 x Lille U19:
๐ฎ Lille U19 wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lille U19, you can win up to $795.00!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Evreux FC 27 U19 x Lille U19
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Analysis from Evreux FC 27 U19 x Lille U19 for the France U19 League – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Evreux FC 27 U19 X Lille U19 – France U19 League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Evreux FC 27 U19 x Lille U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Evreux FC 27 U19 x Lille U19
Should you bet on Evreux FC 27 U19?
๐ต Evreux FC 27 U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $360.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$540.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.77. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $526.30;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$283.70.
Is it worth betting on Lille U19?
๐ด Lille U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.59. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 710 times – profiting $418.90;
- And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$128.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Evreux FC 27 U19 x Lille U19
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Evreux FC 27 U19
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Evreux FC 27 U19 x Lille U19
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Evreux FC 27 U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Evreux FC 27 U19.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Evreux FC 27 U19.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Evreux FC 27 U19 x Lille U19
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
