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Home » Predictions » Others » Excursionistas x CS Dock Sud Betting tips for April 12 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 20h00 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Excursionistas Excursionistas
PREDICTION Excursionistas wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
CS Dock Sud CS Dock Sud
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Excursionistas x CS Dock Sud Betting tips for April 12 in Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Our betting tip for Excursionistas x CS Dock Sud, Saturday, 12/4/2025
📅 12/4/2025
20:00
Excursionistas Excursionistas
1.80
X
3.20
CS Dock Sud CS Dock Sud
4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Excursionistas x CS Dock Sud:

🔮 Excursionistas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Excursionistas, you can win up to $900.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Excursionistas x CS Dock Sud:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Excursionistas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CS Dock Sud in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $170.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, CS Dock Sud scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Excursionistas matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, CS Dock Sud conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Excursionistas x CS Dock Sud for the Argentina Primera B Metropolitana – 12 of April

🏟️ Excursionistas X CS Dock Sud – Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
📅 12 of April, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Excursionistas – Winning probability: 67.90% | Fair line: 1.47
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.05% | Fair line: 4.54
🔴 CS Dock Sud – Winning probability: 10.05% | Fair line: 9.95
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Excursionistas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Excursionistas and CS Dock Sud.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Excursionistas x CS Dock Sud

Should you bet on Excursionistas?

🔵 Excursionistas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – profiting $544.00;
  • And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$224.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $484.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$296.00.

Is it worth betting on CS Dock Sud?

🔴 CS Dock Sud: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $300.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$600.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Excursionistas x CS Dock Sud

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Excursionistas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Excursionistas x CS Dock Sud

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Excursionistas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Excursionistas.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Excursionistas x CS Dock Sud

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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