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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Exeter x Mansfield Betting tips for March 11 in England League 1
Tuesday, 11 March 2025, 19h45 England League 1
Exeter Exeter
PREDICTION Mansfield Wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Mansfield Mansfield
ODD: @2.32 Don't miss this prediction!

Exeter x Mansfield Betting tips for March 11 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Exeter x Mansfield, Tuesday, 11/3/2025
๐Ÿ“… 11/3/2025
19:45
Exeter Exeter
2.74
X
3.40
Mansfield Mansfield
2.32

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Exeter x Mansfield:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Mansfield wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mansfield, you can win up to $1160.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Exeter x Mansfield:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Exeter in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mansfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Exeter scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Mansfield scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Mansfield conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Mansfield has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Exeter has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Mansfield playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Exeter x Mansfield?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Exeter x Mansfield, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Exeter x Mansfield for the England League 1 – 11 of March

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Exeter X Mansfield – England League 1
๐Ÿ“… 11 of March, 2025 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Exeter – Winning probability: 23.44% | Fair line: 4.27
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.85% | Fair line: 4.02
๐Ÿ”ด Mansfield – Winning probability: 51.71% | Fair line: 1.93
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Exeter
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Exeter x Mansfield right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1279005 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Exeter x Mansfield

Is betting on Exeter worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Exeter: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $400.20;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$369.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$150.00.

Should you bet on Mansfield?

๐Ÿ”ด Mansfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $686.40;
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$206.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Exeter x Mansfield

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Exeter
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Exeter x Mansfield

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Exeter and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Exeter.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Exeter x Mansfield

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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