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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» F91 Dudelange x Swift Hesperange Betting tips for November 23 in Luxembourg Division Nationale
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 16h00 Luxembourg Division Nationale
F91 Dudelange F91 Dudelange
PREDICTION No tip
Swift Hesperange Swift Hesperange
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F91 Dudelange x Swift Hesperange Betting tips for November 23 in Luxembourg Division Nationale

Our betting tip for F91 Dudelange x Swift Hesperange, Saturday, 23/11/2024
πŸ“… 23/11/2024
16:00
F91 Dudelange F91 Dudelange
2.12
X
3.70
Swift Hesperange Swift Hesperange
2.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for F91 Dudelange x Swift Hesperange:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for F91 Dudelange x Swift Hesperange

Important information for your tip for F91 Dudelange x Swift Hesperange:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on F91 Dudelange in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $170.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Swift Hesperange in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-325.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, F91 Dudelange scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Swift Hesperange matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ F91 Dudelange is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from F91 Dudelange x Swift Hesperange for the Luxembourg Division Nationale – 23 of November

🏟️ F91 Dudelange X Swift Hesperange – Luxembourg Division Nationale
πŸ“… 23 of November, 2024 – 16:00
πŸ”΅ F91 Dudelange – Winning probability: 31.85% | Fair line: 3.14
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.97% | Fair line: 3.58
πŸ”΄ Swift Hesperange – Winning probability: 40.17% | Fair line: 2.49
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 F91 Dudelange
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between F91 Dudelange and Swift Hesperange.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225929 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for F91 Dudelange x Swift Hesperange

Is it a good idea to bet on F91 Dudelange?

πŸ”΅ F91 Dudelange: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $358.40;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$321.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $756.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$36.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Swift Hesperange?

πŸ”΄ Swift Hesperange: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $700.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$100.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match F91 Dudelange x Swift Hesperange

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 F91 Dudelange
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for F91 Dudelange x Swift Hesperange

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 F91 Dudelange and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 F91 Dudelange.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 F91 Dudelange.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for F91 Dudelange x Swift Hesperange

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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