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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป F91 Dudelange x US Hostert Betting tips for September 29 in Luxembourg Division Nationale
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Luxembourg Division Nationale
F91 Dudelange F91 Dudelange
PREDICTION F91 Dudelange wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
US Hostert US Hostert
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

F91 Dudelange x US Hostert Betting tips for September 29 in Luxembourg Division Nationale

Our betting tip for F91 Dudelange x US Hostert, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
11:00
F91 Dudelange F91 Dudelange
1.36
X
4.82
US Hostert US Hostert
5.88

Our algorithm has selected this tip for F91 Dudelange x US Hostert:

๐Ÿ”ฎ F91 Dudelange wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on F91 Dudelange, you can win up to $680.00!

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The main points for the tip for F91 Dudelange x US Hostert:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on US Hostert in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $282.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, F91 Dudelange scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, US Hostert scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against US Hostert, F91 Dudelange scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 F91 Dudelange matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 US Hostert matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between F91 Dudelange x US Hostert, with F91 Dudelange as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, F91 Dudelange conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, F91 Dudelange conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against US Hostert.
๐Ÿ‘‰ F91 Dudelange has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against US Hostert playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from F91 Dudelange x US Hostert for the Luxembourg Division Nationale – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ F91 Dudelange X US Hostert – Luxembourg Division Nationale
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
๐Ÿ”ต F91 Dudelange – Winning probability: 87.94% | Fair line: 1.14
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.03% | Fair line: 14.22
๐Ÿ”ด US Hostert – Winning probability: 5.03% | Fair line: 19.9
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 F91 Dudelange
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on F91 Dudelange x US Hostert is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for F91 Dudelange x US Hostert

Should you bet on F91 Dudelange?

๐Ÿ”ต F91 Dudelange: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 87.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – profiting $316.80;
  • And would have lost other 120 times – with a loss of -$120.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$196.80.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $267.40;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$662.60.

Should you bet on US Hostert?

๐Ÿ”ด US Hostert: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $244.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$706.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match F91 Dudelange x US Hostert

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 F91 Dudelange
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for F91 Dudelange x US Hostert

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 F91 Dudelange, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 F91 Dudelange.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 US Hostert.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for F91 Dudelange x US Hostert

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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