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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Fabril Barreiro x Louletano DC Betting tips for April 13 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Fabril Barreiro Fabril Barreiro
PREDICTION No tip
Louletano DC Louletano DC
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Fabril Barreiro x Louletano DC Betting tips for April 13 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Fabril Barreiro x Louletano DC, Sunday, 13/4/2025
πŸ“… 13/4/2025
15:00
Fabril Barreiro Fabril Barreiro
2.26
X
3.32
Louletano DC Louletano DC
2.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fabril Barreiro x Louletano DC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Fabril Barreiro x Louletano DC

Important information for your tip for Fabril Barreiro x Louletano DC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fabril Barreiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Louletano DC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $244.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 Fabril Barreiro matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Fabril Barreiro conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Louletano DC.

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Summary

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Analysis from Fabril Barreiro x Louletano DC for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 13 of April

🏟️ Fabril Barreiro X Louletano DC – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
πŸ“… 13 of April, 2025 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Fabril Barreiro – Winning probability: 43.75% | Fair line: 2.29
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.63% | Fair line: 3.49
πŸ”΄ Louletano DC – Winning probability: 27.62% | Fair line: 3.62
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fabril Barreiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fabril Barreiro and Louletano DC.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302187 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fabril Barreiro x Louletano DC

Should you bet on Fabril Barreiro?

πŸ”΅ Fabril Barreiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $554.40;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$5.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $672.80;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$37.20.

Should you bet on Louletano DC?

πŸ”΄ Louletano DC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $476.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$244.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fabril Barreiro x Louletano DC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fabril Barreiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fabril Barreiro x Louletano DC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Fabril Barreiro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Fabril Barreiro.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Fabril Barreiro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fabril Barreiro x Louletano DC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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