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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Famalicao U23 x Torreense U23 Betting tips for October 30 in Portugal U23 League
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 15h00 Portugal U23 League
Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23
PREDICTION No tip
Torreense U23 Torreense U23
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Famalicao U23 x Torreense U23 Betting tips for October 30 in Portugal U23 League

Our betting tip for Famalicao U23 x Torreense U23, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
πŸ“… 30/10/2024
15:00
Famalicao U23 Famalicao U23
2.24
X
3.34
Torreense U23 Torreense U23
2.86

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Famalicao U23 x Torreense U23:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Famalicao U23 x Torreense U23

The main points for the tip for Famalicao U23 x Torreense U23:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Famalicao U23 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Torreense U23 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Famalicao U23 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Torreense U23 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Famalicao U23 x Torreense U23 for the Portugal U23 League – 30 of October

🏟️ Famalicao U23 X Torreense U23 – Portugal U23 League
πŸ“… 30 of October, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Famalicao U23 – Winning probability: 50.50% | Fair line: 1.98
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.98% | Fair line: 3.85
πŸ”΄ Torreense U23 – Winning probability: 23.52% | Fair line: 4.25
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Famalicao U23
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Famalicao U23 x Torreense U23 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1212778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Famalicao U23 x Torreense U23

Is it a good idea to bet on Famalicao U23?

πŸ”΅ Famalicao U23: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.24. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $632.40;
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$142.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $608.40
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$131.60.

Should you bet on Torreense U23?

πŸ”΄ Torreense U23: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $446.40;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$313.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Famalicao U23 x Torreense U23

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Famalicao U23
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Famalicao U23 x Torreense U23

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Famalicao U23, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Famalicao U23. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Famalicao U23 x Torreense U23

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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