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Home » Predictions » Others » Farnborough x Chesham Betting tips for February 4 in England National League South
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 19h45 England National League South
Farnborough Farnborough
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Chesham Chesham
ODD: @3.35 Don't miss this prediction!

Farnborough x Chesham Betting tips for February 4 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Farnborough x Chesham, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
19:45
Farnborough Farnborough
2.36
X
3.35
Chesham Chesham
2.58

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Farnborough x Chesham:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1675.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Farnborough x Chesham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Farnborough in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chesham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Chesham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Chesham matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Farnborough x Chesham, with Farnborough as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Chesham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Chesham has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Farnborough x Chesham?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Farnborough x Chesham, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Farnborough x Chesham for the England National League South – 4 of February

🏟️ Farnborough X Chesham – England National League South
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Farnborough – Winning probability: 42.03% | Fair line: 2.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.62% | Fair line: 3.07
🔴 Chesham – Winning probability: 25.34% | Fair line: 3.95
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Farnborough
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Farnborough x Chesham right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1256585 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Farnborough x Chesham

Is it worth betting on Farnborough?

🔵 Farnborough: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $571.20
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$8.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $775.50;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$105.50.

Is it worth betting on Chesham?

🔴 Chesham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $395.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$355.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Farnborough x Chesham

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Farnborough
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Farnborough x Chesham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Farnborough, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Farnborough.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Chesham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Farnborough x Chesham

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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