📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Farnborough x Worthing
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Analysis from Farnborough x Worthing for the England National League South – 21 of November
🏟️ Farnborough X Worthing – England National League South
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Farnborough and Worthing.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024310 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Farnborough x Worthing
Should you bet on Farnborough?
🔵 Farnborough: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 610 times – profiting $634.40;
- And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$244.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $500.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$300.00.
Should you bet on Worthing?
🔴 Worthing: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $370.50;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$439.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Farnborough x Worthing
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Farnborough
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Farnborough x Worthing
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Farnborough and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Farnborough.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Farnborough x Worthing
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves