Fatih Karagumruk x Istanbulspor Betting tips for September 30 in Turkey 1 Lig
| 📅 30/9/2024 14:00 |
 Fatih Karagumruk2.15 |
X 3.25 |
Istanbulspor  2.90 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Fatih Karagumruk x Istanbulspor:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!
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The main points for the tip for Fatih Karagumruk x Istanbulspor: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fatih Karagumruk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-53.0. |
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Analysis from Fatih Karagumruk x Istanbulspor for the Turkey 1 Lig – 30 of September
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🏟️ Fatih Karagumruk X Istanbulspor – Turkey 1 Lig |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fatih Karagumruk x Istanbulspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Fatih Karagumruk x Istanbulspor
Is betting on Fatih Karagumruk worth it?
🔵 Fatih Karagumruk: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $448.50;
- And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$161.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $810.00;
- And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$170.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Istanbulspor?
🔴 Istanbulspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $475.00;
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$275.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fatih Karagumruk x Istanbulspor
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fatih Karagumruk
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fatih Karagumruk x Istanbulspor
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Fatih Karagumruk, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Fatih Karagumruk.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fatih Karagumruk x Istanbulspor
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
