FBC Gravina x Brindisi Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for FBC Gravina x Brindisi, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:30

FBC Gravina 1.91

X 3.20

Brindisi 3.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FBC Gravina x Brindisi:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FBC Gravina x Brindisi

The main points for the tip for FBC Gravina x Brindisi: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brindisi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $400.0. 👉 Playing as the home team, FBC Gravina conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Brindisi. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Brindisi has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from FBC Gravina x Brindisi for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September

When the best bet on FBC Gravina x Brindisi is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FBC Gravina x Brindisi

Is it a good idea to bet on FBC Gravina?

🔵 FBC Gravina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 520 times – profiting $473.20;
• And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$6.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $616.00
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Is betting on Brindisi worth it?

🔴 Brindisi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $520.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match FBC Gravina x Brindisi

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FBC Gravina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FBC Gravina x Brindisi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 FBC Gravina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 FBC Gravina.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 FBC Gravina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FBC Gravina x Brindisi

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.