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Home Β» Predictions Β» FBC Gravina x Matera Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
FBC Gravina FBC Gravina
PREDICTION No tip
Matera Matera
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FBC Gravina x Matera Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for FBC Gravina x Matera, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
13:30
FBC Gravina FBC Gravina
3.22
X
3.24
Matera Matera
2.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FBC Gravina x Matera:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for FBC Gravina x Matera

Important information for your tip for FBC Gravina x Matera:

πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Matera matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, FBC Gravina conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Matera conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for FBC Gravina as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from FBC Gravina x Matera for the Italy Serie D – 2 of February

🏟️ FBC Gravina X Matera – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ FBC Gravina – Winning probability: 23.64% | Fair line: 4.23
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.00% | Fair line: 3.7
πŸ”΄ Matera – Winning probability: 49.36% | Fair line: 2.03
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FBC Gravina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FBC Gravina x Matera right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FBC Gravina x Matera

Should you bet on FBC Gravina?

πŸ”΅ FBC Gravina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $532.80;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$227.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $604.80;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$125.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Matera?

πŸ”΄ Matera: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $514.50;
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$4.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FBC Gravina x Matera

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FBC Gravina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FBC Gravina x Matera

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 FBC Gravina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 FBC Gravina.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FBC Gravina x Matera

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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