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Home » Predictions » Others » FC 03 Differdange x Jeunesse Esch Betting tips for September 29 in Luxembourg Division Nationale
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h00 Luxembourg Division Nationale
FC 03 Differdange FC 03 Differdange
PREDICTION FC 03 Differdange wins Probability 88% 1 X 2
Jeunesse Esch Jeunesse Esch
ODD: @1.33 Don't miss this prediction!

FC 03 Differdange x Jeunesse Esch Betting tips for September 29 in Luxembourg Division Nationale

Our betting tip for FC 03 Differdange x Jeunesse Esch, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
12:00
FC 03 Differdange FC 03 Differdange
1.33
X
4.72
Jeunesse Esch Jeunesse Esch
7.38

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC 03 Differdange x Jeunesse Esch:

🔮 FC 03 Differdange wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC 03 Differdange, you can win up to $665.00!

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The main points for the tip for FC 03 Differdange x Jeunesse Esch:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC 03 Differdange in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $248.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Jeunesse Esch in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
👉 FC 03 Differdange did not concede a goal in the last 6 matches as home team.
👉 Playing as the home team, FC 03 Differdange conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Jeunesse Esch.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC 03 Differdange x Jeunesse Esch for the Luxembourg Division Nationale – 29 of September

🏟️ FC 03 Differdange X Jeunesse Esch – Luxembourg Division Nationale
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 FC 03 Differdange – Winning probability: 88.50% | Fair line: 1.13
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.77% | Fair line: 11.41
🔴 Jeunesse Esch – Winning probability: 2.73% | Fair line: 36.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FC 03 Differdange
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC 03 Differdange x Jeunesse Esch right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC 03 Differdange x Jeunesse Esch

Is it a good idea to bet on FC 03 Differdange?

🔵 FC 03 Differdange: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 88.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – profiting $290.40;
  • And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$170.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $334.80;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$575.20.

Is betting on Jeunesse Esch worth it?

🔴 Jeunesse Esch: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $191.40
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$778.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC 03 Differdange x Jeunesse Esch

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FC 03 Differdange
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC 03 Differdange x Jeunesse Esch

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 FC 03 Differdange and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 FC 03 Differdange.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Jeunesse Esch.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC 03 Differdange x Jeunesse Esch

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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