| 📅 21/1/2022 18:00 |
 FC Atlético Cearense1.55 |
X 4.50 |
Caucaia  4.24 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Atlético Cearense x Caucaia:
🔮 Caucaia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Caucaia, you can win up to $2119.75!
📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for FC Atlético Cearense x Caucaia
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Analysis from FC Atlético Cearense x Caucaia for the Brazil Campeonato Cearense – 21 of January
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🏟️ FC Atlético Cearense X Caucaia – Brazil Campeonato Cearense |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Atlético Cearense and Caucaia.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290581 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Atlético Cearense x Caucaia
Is it worth betting on FC Atlético Cearense?
🔵 FC Atlético Cearense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $264.00;
- And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$256.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $385.00;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$505.00.
Should you bet on Caucaia?
🔴 Caucaia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $1328.19;
- And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$738.19.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Atlético Cearense x Caucaia
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Atlético Cearense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Atlético Cearense x Caucaia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 FC Atlético Cearense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 FC Atlético Cearense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Caucaia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Atlético Cearense x Caucaia
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
