FC Barreirense x Lusitano GC Evora Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
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29/9/2024 11:00 |
 FC Barreirense3.05 |
X 3.20 |
Lusitano GC Evora  2.15 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Barreirense x Lusitano GC Evora:
๐ฎ Lusitano GC Evora wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lusitano GC Evora, you can win up to $1075.00!
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Some important points for the tip for FC Barreirense x Lusitano GC Evora: ๐ If you had bet $100 on FC Barreirense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Barreirense x Lusitano GC Evora?
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Analysis from FC Barreirense x Lusitano GC Evora for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September
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๐๏ธ FC Barreirense X Lusitano GC Evora – Portugal Campeonato Nacional |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Barreirense x Lusitano GC Evora right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Barreirense x Lusitano GC Evora
Is betting on FC Barreirense worth it?
๐ต FC Barreirense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $369.00;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$451.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $638.00;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$72.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Lusitano GC Evora?
๐ด Lusitano GC Evora: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – profiting $609.50;
- And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$139.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match FC Barreirense x Lusitano GC Evora
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 FC Barreirense
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Barreirense x Lusitano GC Evora
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 FC Barreirense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 FC Barreirense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lusitano GC Evora.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Barreirense x Lusitano GC Evora
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
