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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Cartagena x Alcorcon Betting tips for May 8 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Friday, 08 May 2026, 17h00 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
FC Cartagena FC Cartagena
PREDICTION No tip
Alcorcon Alcorcon
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FC Cartagena x Alcorcon Betting tips for May 8 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for FC Cartagena x Alcorcon, Friday, 8/5/2026
📅 8/5/2026
17:00
FC Cartagena FC Cartagena
2.04
X
3.08
Alcorcon Alcorcon
3.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Cartagena x Alcorcon:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Cartagena x Alcorcon

Important information for your tip for FC Cartagena x Alcorcon:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Cartagena in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $6.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alcorcon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-70.0.
👉 FC Cartagena did not concede a goal in the last 6 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Cartagena scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Alcorcon, FC Cartagena scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 FC Cartagena matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 FC Cartagena is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 FC Cartagena has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Alcorcon.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Cartagena x Alcorcon for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 8 of May

🏟️ FC Cartagena X Alcorcon – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
📅 8 of May, 2026 – 17:00
🔵 FC Cartagena – Winning probability: 39.51% | Fair line: 2.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.05% | Fair line: 3.03
🔴 Alcorcon – Winning probability: 27.43% | Fair line: 3.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Cartagena
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

How the handicap and odds moved for FC Cartagena x Alcorcon

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between FC Cartagena x Alcorcon.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

📊 The odds for FC Cartagena had a slight Raised of 10.00%: the market opened with odds of @2.0 for FC Cartagena and now the odds are @2.2.
📊 The odds for Draw had a slight Decreased of -6.45%: the market opened with odds of @3.1 for Draw and now the odds are @2.9.
📊 The odds for Alcorcon had a slight Decreased of -5.88%: the market opened with odds of @3.4 for Alcorcon and now the odds are @3.2.
📊 The market decreased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.50 is now at -0.25 for FC Cartagena.
📊 The market expects less goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.25 and now is at 2.00 goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Cartagena x Alcorcon

When the best bet on FC Cartagena x Alcorcon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1540969 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Should you bet on FC Cartagena?

🔵 FC Cartagena: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$184.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $686.40;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$16.40.

Is it worth betting on Alcorcon?

🔴 Alcorcon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $648.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$82.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Cartagena x Alcorcon

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 FC Cartagena
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Cartagena x Alcorcon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 FC Cartagena and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 FC Cartagena.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Cartagena x Alcorcon

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for FC Cartagena x Alcorcon

Who is the favourite for FC Cartagena x Alcorcon?

According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is FC Cartagena, with a win probability of 39.51%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!

Who will win: FC Cartagena or Alcorcon?

There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests FC Cartagena has the better chance to win, with a probability of 39.51%. If you choose to back FC Cartagena, do so responsibly!

What are the chances of FC Cartagena beating Alcorcon today?

According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect FC Cartagena to win approximately 40 of them against Alcorcon.

What are the chances of Alcorcon beating FC Cartagena today?

Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Alcorcon would win about 27 of those versus FC Cartagena.

Which team should I bet on: FC Cartagena or Alcorcon?

Our analysis did not find a clear positive expected value bet for this match. Remember to always manage your bankroll and bet responsibly: avoid staking more than 2% of your balance!

How much is FC Cartagena paying today? See what you can win by betting on FC Cartagena x Alcorcon:

The average odds for FC Cartagena to beat Alcorcon today are 2.04. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2040.00 if FC Cartagena wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

How much is Alcorcon paying today? See what you can win by betting on FC Cartagena x Alcorcon:

The average odds for Alcorcon to beat FC Cartagena today are 3.40. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh3400.00 if Alcorcon wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Which bookmaker is best for betting on FC Cartagena x Alcorcon?

To bet on the match between FC Cartagena and Alcorcon, we recommend using licensed and reputable bookmakers. Here are three bookmakers we suggest for this fixture:

Always gamble responsibly!

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves