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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» FC Den Bosch x FC Dordrecht Betting tips for December 1 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 15h45 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
FC Den Bosch FC Den Bosch
PREDICTION No tip
FC Dordrecht FC Dordrecht
Don't miss this prediction!

FC Den Bosch x FC Dordrecht Betting tips for December 1 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for FC Den Bosch x FC Dordrecht, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
15:45
FC Den Bosch FC Den Bosch
2.38
X
3.50
FC Dordrecht FC Dordrecht
2.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Den Bosch x FC Dordrecht:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FC Den Bosch x FC Dordrecht

Important information for your tip for FC Den Bosch x FC Dordrecht:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Den Bosch in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Dordrecht in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-45.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, FC Dordrecht scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 FC Dordrecht matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between FC Den Bosch x FC Dordrecht, with FC Den Bosch as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, FC Den Bosch conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, FC Dordrecht conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for FC Dordrecht as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Den Bosch x FC Dordrecht for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 1 of December

🏟️ FC Den Bosch X FC Dordrecht – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 15:45
πŸ”΅ FC Den Bosch – Winning probability: 39.84% | Fair line: 2.51
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.10% | Fair line: 4.15
πŸ”΄ FC Dordrecht – Winning probability: 36.06% | Fair line: 2.77
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Den Bosch
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Den Bosch x FC Dordrecht right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Den Bosch x FC Dordrecht

Is it worth betting on FC Den Bosch?

πŸ”΅ FC Den Bosch: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $552.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$48.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$160.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Dordrecht?

πŸ”΄ FC Dordrecht: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $576.00;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$64.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Den Bosch x FC Dordrecht

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FC Den Bosch
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Den Bosch x FC Dordrecht

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 FC Den Bosch, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 FC Den Bosch.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 FC Dordrecht.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Den Bosch x FC Dordrecht

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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