FC Flora Tallinn x Parnu JK Vaprus Betting tips for September 29 in Estonia Meistriliiga

Our betting tip for FC Flora Tallinn x Parnu JK Vaprus, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 08:30

FC Flora Tallinn 1.31

X 4.90

Parnu JK Vaprus 6.86

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Flora Tallinn x Parnu JK Vaprus:

🔮 FC Flora Tallinn wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Flora Tallinn, you can win up to $655.00!

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The main points for the tip for FC Flora Tallinn x Parnu JK Vaprus: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Flora Tallinn in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $321.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Parnu JK Vaprus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, FC Flora Tallinn scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between FC Flora Tallinn x Parnu JK Vaprus, with FC Flora Tallinn as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Parnu JK Vaprus conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 FC Flora Tallinn is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Parnu JK Vaprus as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from FC Flora Tallinn x Parnu JK Vaprus for the Estonia Meistriliiga – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Flora Tallinn and Parnu JK Vaprus.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Flora Tallinn x Parnu JK Vaprus

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Flora Tallinn?

🔵 FC Flora Tallinn: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 860 times – profiting $266.60;
• And would lose other 140 times – losing -$140.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$126.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $390.00;
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$510.00.

Is it worth betting on Parnu JK Vaprus?

🔴 Parnu JK Vaprus: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $234.40
• And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$725.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Flora Tallinn x Parnu JK Vaprus

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 FC Flora Tallinn
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Flora Tallinn x Parnu JK Vaprus

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 FC Flora Tallinn and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 FC Flora Tallinn.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Flora Tallinn x Parnu JK Vaprus

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.