FC Gagra x Dinamo Tbilisi Betting tips for October 1 in Georgia Erovnuli Liga

Our betting tip for FC Gagra x Dinamo Tbilisi, Tuesday, 1/10/2024

📅 1/10/2024 13:00

FC Gagra 3.80

X 3.40

Dinamo Tbilisi 1.85

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Gagra x Dinamo Tbilisi:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for FC Gagra x Dinamo Tbilisi

Some important points for the tip for FC Gagra x Dinamo Tbilisi: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Gagra in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $20.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dinamo Tbilisi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $90.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Gagra conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, FC Gagra conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Dinamo Tbilisi. 👉 Even as a visitor, Dinamo Tbilisi won the last 4 head-to-head matches FC Gagra´s territory

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Analysis from FC Gagra x Dinamo Tbilisi for the Georgia Erovnuli Liga – 1 of October

When the best bet on FC Gagra x Dinamo Tbilisi is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Gagra x Dinamo Tbilisi

Should you bet on FC Gagra?

🔵 FC Gagra: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $392.00
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$468.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$150.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Dinamo Tbilisi?

🔴 Dinamo Tbilisi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 610 times – profiting $518.50;
• And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$128.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Gagra x Dinamo Tbilisi

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 FC Gagra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Gagra x Dinamo Tbilisi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 FC Gagra, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 FC Gagra.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Dinamo Tbilisi.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Gagra x Dinamo Tbilisi

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.