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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» FC Giessen x SGV Freiberg Betting tips for May 10 in Germany Regionalliga South West
Saturday, 10 May 2025, 12h00 Germany Regionalliga South West
FC Giessen FC Giessen
PREDICTION No tip
SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg
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FC Giessen x SGV Freiberg Betting tips for May 10 in Germany Regionalliga South West

Our betting tip for FC Giessen x SGV Freiberg, Saturday, 10/5/2025
πŸ“… 10/5/2025
12:00
FC Giessen FC Giessen
2.62
X
3.80
SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg
2.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Giessen x SGV Freiberg:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for FC Giessen x SGV Freiberg

The main points for the tip for FC Giessen x SGV Freiberg:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Giessen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-3.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SGV Freiberg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $410.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Giessen scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, FC Giessen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, SGV Freiberg conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Giessen x SGV Freiberg for the Germany Regionalliga South West – 10 of May

🏟️ FC Giessen X SGV Freiberg – Germany Regionalliga South West
πŸ“… 10 of May, 2025 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ FC Giessen – Winning probability: 28.61% | Fair line: 3.5
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.79% | Fair line: 4.2
πŸ”΄ SGV Freiberg – Winning probability: 47.59% | Fair line: 2.1
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Giessen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Giessen and SGV Freiberg.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1322135 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Giessen x SGV Freiberg

Is betting on FC Giessen worth it?

πŸ”΅ FC Giessen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $469.80;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$240.20.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $672.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$88.00.

Is it worth betting on SGV Freiberg?

πŸ”΄ SGV Freiberg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Giessen x SGV Freiberg

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Giessen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Giessen x SGV Freiberg

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 FC Giessen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 FC Giessen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 FC Giessen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Giessen x SGV Freiberg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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